NCAAF Week 1

The 2018 college football season has arrived.  NCAAF Week 1 was a banger!  There were blow outs, upsets, and overtime games.  With Week 1 in the books, we have a little shake up in the Top 10.

1.) Alabama

Roll Tide remains #1 in Paradise Picks power rankings.  The Crimson Tide rolled Louisville in Orlando Saturday night as Tua Tagovailoa continues to look like the real deal.  We expect Alabama to continue to roll now that Nick Saban has finally made a decision to start Tua over Jalen.  Alabama covered the 24 point spread against the Cardinals, and Paradise Picks expect another cover by the Crimson Tide.  Looks for Tua Tagovailoa to play the first half and Jalen Hurts to play the second half when the game is out of hand.  Lean:  Alabama -37

2.) Clemson

Clemson played some team called Furman in Week 1 and rolled them as expected.  It was a great scrimmage to prepare to travel to Aggie Land.  Kelly Bryant and Trevor Lawrence both played against the Paladins and both looked good.  Bryant brings another element to his game as he rushed for 44 yards and a TD.  Lawrence, however, did toss 3 TD on 9 for 15 passing.  Texas A&M will be a whole different ball game though.  The 12th Man will be rocking, and it will be interesting to see how Dabo Swinney handles the two QB system.  Clemson didn’t cover the 42 points spread against Furman.  Can they cover the -12 against the Aggies?   Lean:  Clemson – 12

3.) Ohio State

No Urban,  no problem.  Ryan Day had the Ohio State Buckeyes ready to play.  The offense put up a massive 77 points in the season opener against Oregon State.  However, the Buckeyes defense did allow 31 points, and that needs to be corrected before they travel down to Dallas for the showdown with TCU.  Dwayne Haskins lit up the scoreboard tossing 5 touchdowns while completing 22 of 30 passes.  Mike Weber opened the season with 186 yards and 3 TD’s.  With Rutgers coming to town we expect another explosive performance from the Buckeyes.  Ohio State covered the 38 points spread against the Beavers.  Can they cover the -35 points spread against the Scarlet Knights? Expect the defensive problems to get fixed, and the offense to continue to roll.  Lean:  Ohio State – 35

4.) Auburn

Auburn Tigers move from #8 in our preseason rankings to #4.  The game against Washington was spectacular.  Jarrett Stidham is the real deal.  With him under center and a stout defense, you can expect Auburn to be in the playoff picture at the end of the year.  The Tigers defense held Myles Gaskin under 100 yards, and picked off Jake Browning once.  Auburn controlled most of the game, but the Huskies fought back.  To start the 4th quarter, the Huskies took the lead on a Peyton Henry 30-yard field goal putting Washington up 16-15.  The Tigers battled back and scored a touchdown making the game 21-16 with 6:00 minutes to go.  The defense held and War Eagle covered the -2.5 spread.  Currently the line is -50 for the War Eagles against Alabama State.  Lean:  Auburn -50

5.) Georgia

The Governors of Austin Peay came to Athens, GA and took it on the chin.  Just like Clemson this was another glorified scrimmage, and the Bulldogs handled their business 45-0.  However, they didn’t cover the spread.  This week the Bulldogs travel to Columbia, SC and tangle with the Gamecocks.  Expect this to be a barn burner with Will Muschamp having his best team yet.  Both teams will get a better sense of where they stand in 2018. The spread opens up at -10 in favored of Georgia.  Expect this game to stay within one score and the Gamecocks to cover.  Lean:  South Carolina +10

6.) Wisconsin

The Badgers handled their business Saturday at Camp Randall Stadium.  Alex Hornibrook was solid with completing 58% of his passes, and Jonathan Taylor kicked off his Heisman Campaign rushing for 145 yards and 2 scores.  The Badgers put were up 24-0 at halftime and put it on cruise control in the second half winning 34-3.  However, they didn’t cover the -37 points they were favored by.  The New Mexico Lobos come to town as a 35 point underdog, and Wisconsin can name the score, but will they?  Lean:  Wisconsin – 35

7.) Oklahoma 

Wow!  Kyler Murray stepped in for Baker Mayfield and looks like a rock star.  He only missed 2 of his targets (9-11).  Rodney Anderson is a stud carrying the ball 5 times for 100 yards and 2 TD’s, an average of 20 yards per carry.  How about that defense?  Not giving up a touchdown till the very end of the 3rd quarter when the game was already out of reach.  Boomer Sooner easily covered the spread of -21.  Week 2 brings the Bruins to town and the Sooners open up as -25 point favorites.  Chip Kelly’s debut was spoiled by the Cincinnati Bearcats.  Can the Bruins hang in Norman?  Doubtful.  Lean:  Oklahoma -25 

8.) Notre Dame

Debuting in the Top 10 this week is the Fighting Irish.  Man did they look good Saturday night in prime time action against the Wolverines.   Michigan was #7 last week in the Power Rankings, but they fall out this week.  The Irish dominated every aspect of the game.  Brandon Wimbush had a solid game.  His legs really gave the Wolverines fits.  The Irish defense had Shea Patterson confused most of the night.  If the defense continues to play like they did Saturday you can expect to see them continuing to climb the list.  Notre Dame covered the -1 point spread with ease.  Ball State travels to South Bend as 35 point underdogs.  With the Irish coming off an emotional high can they cover?  Lean:  Ball State +35

9.) Washington

Props to the Huskies traveling to SEC Country to take on Auburn.  Yes, it was a neutral site game but to be realistic it was more of a home game for Auburn.  Washington still has everything to play for.  They can win the PAC 12 and secure a spot in the playoffs.  For the Huskies it’s good to be back home where they play North Dakota in week 2.  Washington didn’t cover the +2 against the Tigers, but expect them to get back on track this week against the Fighting Hawks.  Lean:  Washington -45

10.)  Virginia Tech

When you open up the college football season by playing at Florida State and you dominate you deserve to be in the Top 10.  What a performance.  The Noles has no offense and credit needs to go to Bud Foster.  He is an amazing defensive coordinator.  Florida State has a lot of things they need to fix, but part of that is going against Va Tech’s defense.  The Hookies easily covered the +7.5 spread, and won outright as the dog.  Virginia Tech opens up at 37.5 favorites against William & Mary.  Don’t expect the Tribe to score many points.  Can Va Tech score 40+?  Lean:  Virginia Tech

Outside Looking In- NCAAF Week 1

Stanford, Mississippi St, Penn St, West Virginia, LSU

Pardise Pick’s

Record: 5-6

Units: -3.25

Agree? Disagree? Let us know what you think in the comments!